Google+ October 2009 ~ NIFTY DEMYSTIFIED

Friday, October 30, 2009

INTRA DAY NIFTY VIEW FOR 10-30-2009


The day will be challenging enough for intra traders I feel with so many possibilities. Though I still feel there can be fair bounce if 4740 holds. But upside resistances to be tackled very carefully.
Supports: Support lies @ same 4740, below that more weakness can very well bring it down towards 4715-4700-4665/50 zone.
Resistances: Immediate hurdle will be @ 4795/4805, above that 4830-4868/75 is possible. Further BO from those levels can bring 4920/25. An aggressive target of 5010-5080 is there after a convincing BO above 4948/60 zone.
Trade carefully.


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Thursday, October 29, 2009

NIFTY INTRA DAY VIEW FOR 10-29-2009


Supports: 4777-4740 holds the key, though market is looking weak and generating no reversal signal at all,
still these 2 levels are technically crucial and wish to book some profits around these levels. below that levels some serious trouble for medium can set in which can bring nifty towards 4650-4450 (conservative levels). Further discussion will unfold after breaking of those supports.

Resistances: 4845 is immediate resistance. Above that 4872-4920/30 is hardest hurdle to cross. Any up move towards those levels will be shorted heavily.

...and friends.. we have picked the top convincingly @ 5165/72 (high made 5168), where told to book chunk of investments.. and we are down almost 500 points.. cant we make a cheers!!! :) :P

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Wednesday, October 28, 2009

NIFTY INTRA DAY VIEW FOR 10-28-2009


The top we picked @ 5165 to book our positions, proved quite useful as Nifty showed consistent after that high made on 20th. One thing I am more inclined think is the amplitude of the first fall on the larger chart. It's still not exhibiting any clear wave count (actually it's showing, and the amplitude of first fall is 5168-4972, almost 200 points), that way the corrective on daily chart (not considering the impulse 5 wave down move as of now) will be deeper enough.
Supports: 4820-4800 is immediate support, below that 4777-4740 can be some zone to book positional shorts once and wait for a bounce to reenter.
Resistances: 4865-4890 is hurdle for the day. Above that 4910-4940 can be a place to reenter positional shorts. Will update further moves.

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Tuesday, October 27, 2009

NIFTY INTRADAY VIEW FOR 10-27-2009


Supports: We broke 4972  while making a low of 4965, and closed weak for sure. Now key lies @ 4928-4900 for the day. Below that 4855/58 very much possible before any bounce, though expecting that due to extreme oversold condition of oscillators.
Resistance: 5035 big zone on the upside, any rise can be restricted there, Above that 5070-5095-5115/20 possible.

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Sunday, October 25, 2009

INTRA DAY NIFTY VIEW FOR 10-26-2009


Supports: A break below 4987 (yday's low) can bring 4965-4948 immediately & 4928-4900. 4900 really holds the key. A close below that can very easily bring 4858-4760 previously discussed. 
Resistances: We are still in correctives on 15 minutes chart and 5071-5115/19 is the biggest hurdle. Immediate resistance lies at 5038. There would be number of halts on both sides and my prediction is the movement will be slow and choppy for the day. Short after a handsome rise can be a ploy to trade. Supports are also seem to be working as well for intra small moves on upside.

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Friday, October 23, 2009

NIFTY INTRA DAY VIEW FOR 10-23-2009

Nifty almost down 200 points after picking top at 5165/73 :). The movement suggesting that impulsive move is on comfortably on 15/30 minutes chart. 4930/4900 really holds the key again. But from today's move if it can sustain the low it has formed on 22nd, it can bounce, though as a corrective w.r.t current down move.


Supports: 4972 which today's low somehow provided support. Now holding that it can bounce. Failure to do that can bring 4928-4900 very easily. Further break down will bring 4855-4800/05.
Resistances: Any bounce on the upside will be considered as correction shorting opportunity until 5035-5070 are crossed convincingly. Above that intra-day momentum can be seen upto 5095-5125/35-5151/60.

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Thursday, October 22, 2009

NIFTY INTRA DAY VIEW FOR 10-22-2009

Nifty made high of 5122 but hardly sustained there, came below our resistance level (5115) immediately and could not manage above that for entire session and finally broke down. Now as the shorter term is weak it seems nifty may continue some more slide unless can not manage above 5152/60.

Supports: For current down move 5030/32 holds the key now. A bounce can come and test the resistances above. Below that some 4990-4940 is possible very easily.
Resistances: 5095-5120-5165/72. Trend will be under threat unless 5152/60 is taken out based on micro move.

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Wednesday, October 21, 2009

NIFTY INTRA DAY VIEWS FOR 10-21-2009


Nifty indeed experienced some profit booking exactly @ 5165 (high made 5168). Though the current downward movement on the downside can not be considered anything else rather than a mere correction. In stead of a stiff upper head hurdle Nifty will be having cluster of support on the downside to be bought in.

Supports: 5092 Holds the key, But a failure to sustain above 5115 can bring lower levels, which would be a result of corrective on larger time frame for Nifty. Below that 5074/68 and 5028-5115 are both very crucial. A good deep crack below 5115 can bring a scenario for positional short.
Resistances: 5112/15 will be point of interest. Above that 5152 will be crucial for challenging the highs once again. A cross above 5165/73 can bring 5218/30-5284 as discussed earlier.

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Tuesday, October 20, 2009

INTRADAY NIFTY VIEW FOR 20-10-2009


Levels have changed little or none after truncated Muhurat trading day. Nifty made a spike high exactly @ well discussed 5165 and still hold the key.
Supports: 5115-5070/68. Can get weak below that for 5027-4980/72.
Resistances: 5165/73 as discussed. Above that 5217/30 is possible. But if can't breach that zone with a gap/huge volume, some shorting can be done around that level with so many negative divergences winding up on the chart.

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Saturday, October 17, 2009

WEEKLY TAKE ON NIFTY WITH MOVING AVERAGE

Posting a weekly chart which made me think a little. Take a look. Here i have incorporated 4 EMAs (5,8,13,21, I generally use Fibonacci ma). On weekly chart it has consistently performed in a subsequent way in terms of giving support to nifty, while last time fell up to 3909, 21weekly EMA provided support. On this occasion it around 4560. And some data aberration on EoD chart showing 5284 is being converged from various angles (on last post also i showed it on first chart). The offset Fib rt up to 5284 making 23.6 of the move converged with 21ema. So can we conclude 4550 holds the key now to this bull move, and 5230-5284 can be a top??? Comments will be appreciated.


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INTRADAY NIFTY VIEW FOR MUHURAT TRADING

Yesterday Nifty moved above the first resistance point 5124 and made pivotal for the day while touching and hovering around the next resistance @ 5144. It's still looking bullish and up-trending though some serious resistances are nearing.


Supports: Immediate support is @ 5120, below that it can be weak for the session for 5099-5070/68. Below 5068 shorts can be taken positionally for a target around 5000-4980/72.

Resistances: The current scenario is making this resistances points easy to obtain but tougher to trade with, above 5152, 5165-72 will be on the cards, but with 5217/30 longer term resistances taking into account. So going for intra longs as long supports are holding and accumulating puts in between 5215-5300 can be better idea (positional view).


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ENLIGHTEN THE LIFE!!




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Friday, October 16, 2009

NIFTY INTRA DAY VIEW FOR 16-10-2009

Nifty gave a intra correction from near to our target zone, but bounced off the lows from the support given @ 5060 (low made 5067). Nifty still poised for the target 5165/75, as long 5048-5020/18 is holding.


Supports: Initial support is at 5084. Below that further weakness can bring 5051/48-5021-19 and decide the further move. EoD trendline is @ 4987 for tomorrow.
Resistance: Nifty under some pressure on minute chart wave structure, 5124-5144 main place to nullify the down wave impulse. Above that much discussed 5165/73. Violation of which can bring 5217/30 is possible.

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Thursday, October 15, 2009



Initial hurdle discussed on last was @ 5096, @ day's opening it recorded  @ low of 4093 and moved up, on the 2nd half it again came down from it's high 5126.9 to 5095 (clearly that zone was cleared and provided support), and hence hit 5130, where target given above 5096 was 5131-5162-5218. So first target is achieved. Trend wise there no signal of reversal or weakness, but as discussed, we should look to book profit/exit positions at higher levels as some critical 5th wave target is nearing.

Re-posting one chart posted yesterday, 

Clearly 5165-5175 is the big zone for nifty, crossing that nifty may continue it's up-move towards 5215-5237, where it will be tested, and my take is, it will be tested big time. As a learner of Indian market and a blogger, will wish to share one post with my new readers,which I posted on 20th July, 2009. And finally it's being done somehow.

Supports: 5096-5084 remains the most crucial support for nifty, a break below that can make it further weak for intra targets 5060-5040/35.
Resistances: 5131 is immediate. Above that 5165-75 (probably 5175, wild guess) is possible. Will prefer to book out. Violation of 5175 can bring 5215/35 will be the most crucial resistance.

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Wednesday, October 14, 2009

NIFTY INTRA DAY VIEW FOR 10-14-2009



Supports: Sustaining above 5050  will be always good for higher levels. Below that nifty can get little weak, where 5024-4985 will provide the initial support.

Resistances: 5096 is initial hurdle, which was almost reached on previous high for Nifty @ 5089.6. Now crossing that (after sustaining 5050) can bring 5131-5162-5218 (IT MAY TURN OUT TO BE BIG PROFIT BOOKING ZONE), while close above 5162 zone will be super bullish and can nullify the topping out scenario and can move towards 5470-5545 level (positionally). Personally will try to go short/exit holding stocks now onwards on every up move around 5130-60.

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